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Mariners vs. Astros Pick
The third game of the Mariners-Astros four-game series begins tonight, with Brian Wu pitching for Seattle and Framber Valdez taking the hill for Houston.
BetMGM has the over/under set at 7.5 runs, and although that’s a bit low, I still like the under because of the strengths of both pitchers. Plus, the Mariners’ ineffective offense can turn any game under.
Valdez is having a great season, and it is not surprising that his personal statistics are in the top ten in several categories. The lefty is second in ERA (2.49), eighth in WHIP (1.05), sixth in pitcher WAR at 3.0, and his 110 strikeouts are also in the top 20. It’s also Valdez’s first game against the Mariners this year, which means Seattle hasn’t had an opportunity to adjust his pitching performances.
Mariners’ rookie starter Brian Wu is also unknown. Wu has made only six starts, where he has recorded 39 strikeouts and a 4.08 ERA over 28.2 innings total. His ERA is actually worse than his overall performance, as he gave up six earned runs in his first start, but has since given up two or fewer runs in each of his last five starts.
Wu has found his rhythm and Valdez has been stellar all year, so count on the two to do well in the pitcher’s duel. Take Under 7.5 Betmgm Sportsbook With Bonus Codes npbonus,
Selection: Under 7.5 Runs
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