Jamie Lynch’s Oaks runner-by-runner guide: Soul Sister bids to give Frankie Dettori farewell Epsom success | Racing News

Sky Sports Racing senior analyst Jamie Lynch has the lowdown on every runner in Friday’s Betfred Oaks and gives us his verdict of the big race.

1. be happy

Jockey: JA Heffernan | Trainer: AP O’Brien

Like Bad Firework, her winning debut last September promised more materially despite an increase in distance, although this test should at least be better for her than the Lingfield Oaks Trial on the all-weather in which she The favorite was beaten into second, having been strangled for pace at the finish by Eternal Hope.

Of Aidan O’Brien’s ten winners of the Oaks, four of them were second (or third) wire on the day, but, while it is easy to imagine Be Happy producing a personal best on this stage, Tough that she’s making the necessary leaps. To shake the trio on top.

2. Bright Diamond

Si Lee | KR Burke

Her impressive debut at Newmarket caused quite a stir, but that early tremor produced no aftershocks, running evenly for third in the Prestige and Fillies Mile but behind both Eternal Hope and Be Happy in the traveling Lingfield Oaks Trial in for his return.

The excellent Carl Burke has a delightful knack for pulling rabbits out of hats, but it will take some magic trick to get Bright Diamond onto the podium in the Oaks, which we saw him at Lingfield, Epsom’s rather harsh test for handicap was liable. with his help.

3. Caronphon

Conor Beasley | jack channon

Was beaten 10 lengths in the 1000 Guineas, but equally relevant is that he beat 16 rivals on the day, proof positive that he has picked up from where he left off as a juvenile (Listed winner).

Her final furlong was her best at Newmarket, suggesting stamina that was as yet untested, but still a world away at 1½m at Epsom, and there was little in her pedigree to say that she would stay that far. Oaks will be beyond his capacity in various respects.

Eternal Hope won the Oaks Trial at Lingfield Park, ridden by William Buick

4. Eternal Hope

W Buick | Sea Appleby

Who was the second favorite when Minding won the Oaks in 2016 at odds of 10/11? It is unlikely he is forgettable, but the answer is Skiffle, at 6/1, and the relevant reason is that Eternal Hope needs to be complemented for Epsom, as was Skiffle.

Eternal Hope was not so late to start nor so light on experience as Skiffle heading to Epsom, but he clearly took Charlie Appleby by surprise a bit since his first defeat at Wolverhampton in February was still only 9/4 when he was pushing to be happy in the Lingfield Oaks Trial, although that trial seemed modest against the trial produced by Savelastdance and Soul Sister.

The £30,000 supplement is significant, but perhaps less so than the fact that Eternal Hope was not considered in the class in the first place.

5. Heartache Tonight

C Demuro | de menusiere

Wonderful Tonight was a little late in blossoming to contest the Oaks, although she remained top notch over middle-distances, and to be honest the same may be true for her half-sister, Heartache Tonight, but she stood her shot Receives Epsom.

In theory she brings more to the table than most fourth-place finishes – beaten just 1½ lengths after much running in the Prix Saint-Alary last time, but in practice it is hardly Group 1 form, level little Or no better than the British test.

She’s still on the raw side and, as such, has depth to improve, especially now in travel, her half-sister’s condition (and stamina) is an ongoing recommendation, and if there’s a surprise package in the Oaks I’m Looks like it’s him.

6. Maman June

Kevin Stott | R Hannon

Minds immediately turn to Mojo Star, a maiden for the same trainer and owner who was 50/1 at Epsom but only beaten by Adyar in the 2021 Derby.

Still, it’s hard to imagine being struck twice when it takes one and only run, as promising for a first timer. Although finishing second of 16 at Newbury and trading odds-on at one point, he was beaten 9½ lengths at the finish by Gather Ye Rosebuds, who himself finished last behind Soul Sister’s Jetwash at Musidora the next time.

Maman Joon will probably become the group-category film it has raised for over 1½m, but it is too much of an undertaking to show in this company so early in its development.

7. Red Riding Hood

WM Lordan | AP O’Brien

Incremental improvement so far, rather than any major, ineligible for the Oaks from what he has done on the track, not that he has barred anything from the stable at Epsom, but it adds weight to the theory that he may serve the stable There could be more here for fellow Save The Last Dance, especially as he rode on to his first win at Dundalk.

Running Lion impressed at Newmarket under Oisin Murphy
Running Lion impressed at Newmarket under Oisin Murphy

8. Running Lion

Oisin Murphy | J&T Gosden

In form, she is closer to the ‘big two’ than the betting, 5lb short on the official ratings and just 1lb shy of Timeform, after her fluent win in Pretty Polly, more substance than style, but All of the qualities he displayed at Newmarket (of athleticism, readiness and acceleration) would take him a long way at Epsom.

Time and temptation have seen plans change from the shorter trip of the Prix de Diane to the sterner test of the Oaks, which brings us back to the primary point about Roaring Lion and his progeny, though Running Lion’s half-brother Cozon (by Derby) The winner Por Moi) won by 2 metres.

9. Seventhliest Dance

RL Moore | AP O’Brien

It is not just that Sevdlastdance won his race at Chester by a huge margin, it is that he won any race at a meaningful level, by 22 lengths, which was excellent in every sense of the word, and very Done something right in his final 2f split, not only faster than the sprinters of the day but, as Simon Rowlands illuminates us in the Boodles May Festival edition of Sectional Spotlight, than Shergar in the 1981 Chester Vase much faster on the ground.

Ryan Moore
Ryan Moore

The question is not one of his ability, but of his adaptability, with Epsom being stronger than he has faced so far, a matter of conjecture, but a more direct and moving performance came before Chester’s slow burn (from the front) at Leopardstown, and her dam was a Grade 1 winner on intensely fast turf in America, a family score to settle, as Daddy’s Little Darling was dramatically dropped from the 2017 Oaks to post amid a storm was withdrawn from

10. Sea of ​​Roses

Rob Hornby | am balding

In the deep end this year but has more swam than sunk, finishing one place ahead of Be Happy chasing the French femme fatale Pensi du Jour in a Group 3 at Saint-Cloud in April, though she then finished second behind Sol Sister in Musidora was beaten 8 lengths into fifth.

Sea Of Roses should enjoy this distance, but it will be difficult if not impossible to convey in this company, although it is to my mind that Andrew Balding has run enormous seconds in the Derby with Khalifa Sat and Who over the last three years. Have spent Yes Mal.

11. Soul Sister

El Dettori | J&T Gosden

who’s Your Daddy? We are in another era of Frankel, from his means to his genes, the first has been his unparalleled power on the track, and now we are looking at his fatherly power, having already fathered 27 Group 1 winners worldwide, With Chaldean taking their classic count to six in the UK this year; And Soul Sister made a passable impression of Frenkel at the International when she ran with Musidora last month.

Soul Sister away from rivals in York
Soul Sister away from rivals in York

She was an 18/1 outsider of the field at York due to a disappointing performance in the Fred Darling, without which we waxed lyrical about her star potential, as she also won her only 2-yo start, and Musidora was on the ground heading towards the stronger side of goodness, which means it ticked one box that Sevdlastdance didn’t.

The question of whether Savedlastdance could have done what she did at York can certainly be flipped to speculate whether Soul Sister would have won the Cheshire Oaks by half a straight, and the puzzle for this classic The crux lies in: I have no doubt Soul Sister will stay, nor is she good enough to win an average Oaks, but the ghost of Sevdlastdance could mean this is no average Oaks.

Jamie Lynch Verdict

any of the big three save the Last DanceSoul Sister or Running Lion would be favorites for a simple Betfred Oakes low price, and the fact they are in the same generation could make for an epic edition.

The pair were not as good as the Gosdens in their trials, nor as strange as Savethelastdance in the Cheshire Oaks, for whom the numbers say seeing is believing, and, although his illustrious best may be more conditional than that of his main rivals, his Have a look at help from your stablemates to ensure the emphasis is on stamina.

Show More
Back to top button

disable ad blocker

please disable ad blocker