The Cincinnati Reds (26-29) visit the Boston Red Sox (28-27) for the finale of their three-game series. First pitch begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday. The Reds would go on to sweep Boston 3–0 after taking the first two games: 5–4 and 9–8. Below we continue our MLB odds series with Reds-Red Sox predictions, picks and how to watch.
here are the reds-red sox mlb odds, Courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Reds-Red Sox Odds
Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 (-137)
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+114)
Overs: 9 (-118)
Under: 9 (-104)
How To Watch Reds Vs. red Sox
TV: Bali Sports, NESN
Time: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
*Check out how to watch the Red Sox LIVE with FuboTV (Click for a free trial)*
Why the reds can cover the spread
Last 10: 7-3 (3rd in NL Central)
Run line record: 33-22 (60%)
Over record: 31-24 (56%)
Cincinnati is on an absolute tear in June with five wins in a row. After a 12–15 opening month, his recent hot streak led him to end May 14–13. Perhaps the biggest change in their last month was their offense. He hit only .249 and averaged 4.5 runs per game in April but improved to .266 in May with 4.9 runs per game. After winning the first two games of this series, the Reds are well positioned to come away with their second consecutive sweep (and just their third for the season). Although they face a tough matchup in Chris Sale, the Reds boast an ace of their own and thus again a strong chance to cover as road underdogs.
Fireballer Hunter Green (1-4) makes his 12th start for the Reds tonight. The prized 23-year-old from Cincinnati seemed on the verge of a breakout after a hot end to 2022. He got off to a solid start after registering a 2.19 ERA in April, but struggled in his first four games in May. However, he flipped the script in his most recent start – throwing six no-hit innings against the Cubs where he struck out 11 hitters. While Green can struggle with command and falls victim to the long ball, his strikeout stuff is undeniable. His 12.9 K/9 certainly catches your eye, but he’ll need to be sharp against a Red Sox lineup that strikes out at the sixth-lowest rate in the majors.
The Reds’ recent turnaround can be attributed in large part to some hot performances from their hitters. It starts with corner infielder Spencer Steuer, who hit a blistering .318 in May while leading the team with six home runs, 19 RBI, and 63 total bases. The 25-year-old seems to be in the midst of a full-on breakout and went 3/7 with one homer in the first two games of the tier.
Why the Red Sox Can Cover the Spread
Last 10: 3-7 (fifth in AL East)
Run line record: 28-27 (51%)
Over record: 32-21-2 (60%)
After a strong opening month, Boston retreated in May. Despite a better record in April, Boston actually put up a much higher average in May (.255 – .272). However, the Red Sox miraculously struggled to score at the same rate, as their runs per game dropped from 5.5 to 4.7. They ended the month on a particularly sour note with seven losses in their last nine matches. That said, they managed to pull off big series wins on the road against the Diamondbacks and Padres in their last four series. Nevertheless, Boston found itself facing a road sweep after dropping each of the first two games against the Reds by one run. As a result, the Red Sox will need a stellar outing from Chris Sale if they want to cover as 1.5-run favorites tonight.
Lefty Chris Sale (5-2) makes his 11th start of the season for the Red Sox tonight. Sale faced major question marks coming into the season after managing just 48.1 innings over the previous two seasons. Things looked bleak after his first five starts. He skyrocketed to an 8.22 ERA and struck out less than three runs only once. However, since then, he has completely flipped the script. He ended April on a high note with 6.1 innings of one-run ball before cursing through four May starts, during which he held a 2.42 ERA. With fewer than three runs allowed in each of his last three starts, Sale has looked like his former self.
That said, he faces a tough matchup tonight against a blazing hot Cincinnati team that has destroyed left-handed pitching this season. He is hitting .278 and slugging .424 against lefties this year, but his 26% strikeout rate could put Sale (10.6 K/9) in a sneaky-good position to succeed.
Final Reds-Red Sox Predictions and Picks
Both games in this series have been decided by a single run, but I like the Red Sox to salvage the series and take full advantage of an inconsistent Hunter Green.
Final Reds-Red Sox Prediction & Picks: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+114)