The Philadelphia Phillies are an imperfect creature. Yes, they have been that way for almost their entire existence. But every baseball fan/viewer knows that recent vintage of fightin’ The kind of top-heavy outfit that typically plays defense like it’s just about to sneeze, and the bullpen is about to have a little fun. However, after last fall’s heroes, it’s still looking up. This is why playoff baseball shouldn’t be trusted.
The Phillies were shut out by Kodai Senga in Queens last night, dropping them to four games under .500, and fourth in the NL East. He is 23rd in terms of runs, 19th in in on-base percentage, and 19th in team wRC+. For a team that is spending $115 million on the first five spots in the lineup, it was not designed that way.
The most fingers are being pointed at this winter’s shiny new toy, tree turner, Turner was to provide something different at the top of the lineup, much more contact than the K-Prone rest of the lineup, an on-base weapon that had to be powered by the behemoth swinging behind him, as well as speed. adding a dash that could sometimes create runs of its own.
Nothing like this has happened. fangraphs pretty much broke it downand basically, Turner is swinging at everything while making less contact, which has fueled his strikeouts. He’s hitting more in the air, which can be a good thing, but not when you’re getting a lot of fastballs popping up in the infield. Turner would hardly be the first person to struggle living up to his first major contract and the expectations that come with it, but the metrics don’t look too promising.
it’s not just the new guy
But Turner isn’t the only reason the Phils’ offense’s tires are slick. JT Realmuto has definitely been average as well. He’s another who has noticed a decline in his running and his contact has suddenly become a little softer. Realmuto is buried by fastballs, unable to swing them as violently as he once did. ,His average exhaust velocity has fallen three points this season, and 166 point drop in slugging on fastball, and there’s an impression that he’s starting to cheat to get to the heater, because his faster rate There has been a tremendous jump on offspeed pitches (12 percentage points).
And of course, there’s Kyle Schwarber. But that’s his thing, where he kind of messed up for the first two months of the season, And then in June he becomes the big brother of Hulk (slugging .760 in June ’21, slugging .680 in June ’22). Philly was probably counting on this.
Positively, Bryce Harper has only played for a month, and he’s hit since he came back. They obviously miss Rhys Hoskins, as do Alec Bohm and Edmundo Sosa at corners… well, Alec Bohm and Edmundo Sosa at corners.
It’s hard to believe that Turner will continue to be so bad, and there’s a Schwarber binge coming that will even things out. Realmuto is a bit more worrisome, as he is a catcher in his early 30s and sometimes they turn a strange color in the sun after 8,000 innings in a crouch, as Realmuto has spent.
The Phillies’ Rotation Has Been Great In Zack Wheeler’s Past
Perhaps equally worrying is that the rotation has been pretty crappy in the past for Zack Wheeler. Taijuan Walker has been a gasoline battle (5.57 ERA). Aaron Nola has watched his Ks dip as his fastball has lost some juice and he is tempted to use a cutter more often. But the latter isn’t doing him any favors as hitters are teeing off on him to the tune of slugging .588. Ranger Suarez has made only four starts and is gaining momentum For the most part, and they’re taking it further than that. And as is Philly tradition, the bullpen can’t find the strike zone. with a team of hounds and throwing out laughs Craig Kimbrel in front of their usually so understanding fan on reg.
But that’s what they do. They’ll probably move during the summer and make a trade to round out the rotation for a starter. It was the third place team last year, and while a couple of warm weeks in October overshadowed that fact, it is still the third place team. What could be a problem is if the Marlins’ pitching can keep them afloat long enough to topple the Phillies in fourth place, or if the Diamondbacks’ talk in the West is real enough to deny them the last wildcard they stumbled upon last season. Had eaten
Circle back when the swamp-ass Philadelphia summer breeze turns Citizens Bank Park into a fireworks factory. The Phillies are counting on it.
Follow Sam on Twitter @felsgate If you can get rid of the craziness of Jesus.